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ClipperBlog

07 December

Bringing Home the Bagels



Matt Smith

In keeping with PETA's recent announcement to remove speciesism, OPEC has ironed out the details of a production cut (the sequel), with higher prices meaning they will ultimately be 'bringing home the bagels'.

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Tagged OPEC, Saudi oil exports, Iraq oil exports 1 Comment
30 November

Up, Up and Away



Matt Smith

Back in November 2016, we discussed how global loadings were at a record ahead of the OPEC / NOPEC production cut deal, as exporters put the pedal to the metal, exporting as much crude as they could before having to hit the brakes.

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Tagged Saudi oil exports, Saudi oil production, oil in transit, crude floating storage Leave a comment
16 October

Increasing Tensions, Increasing Flows



Matt Smith

I was on CNBC Asia on Sunday evening as oil prices jumped higher, discussing how the disappearance of Jamal Khashoggi was unlikely to impact energy flows between the U.S. and Saudi Arabia. 

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Tagged China oil imports, Saudi oil exports, Japan oil imports, India oil imports, Iran oil exports, Iraq oil exports 3 Comments
27 July

ClipperClip: Covering all bases



Matt Smith

I really look forward to talking to Ben Lichtenstein or Kevin Hincks on the TD Ameritrade Network; they come at things from a trading perspective, and always have their finger on the pulse. We covered all bases in this latest interview - from trade wars to Iranian tensions to Saudi's tactics to Brent's contango and gasoline.

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Tagged Saudi oil exports, Iran sanctions, Strait of Hormuz, contango, rbob Leave a comment
21 June

ClipperClip: OPEC cuts already being unwound



Matt Smith

Last night's appearance on CNBC Asia highlighted that OPEC is definitely going to unwind the production cut deal. In fact, it appears they already have.

Historically, production rises ahead of an OPEC quota increase, and Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and UAE - the key proponents of the OPEC production cut deal - are all showing significantly higher crude exports so far this month, as spigots are opened...

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Tagged Saudi oil exports, Kuwait oil exports, UAE oil exports, OPEC production cuts, OPEC oil production 1 Comment
21 December

ClipperClip: 100 million barrels



Matt Smith

I got to chat with my buddy, the mighty Dan Murphy, on CNBC Asia last night, and we covered a fair bit of ground: US crude inventories and the role of exports in reducing them, the Forties pipeline outage and who will plug the gap, and how Saudi must be feeling about the oil market (spoiler alert: absolutely delighted). Hark, click on the below mugshot to launch to the clip:

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Tagged Saudi oil exports, US oil exports, us product exports, Forties pipeline outage 1 Comment
07 July

Reality bites



Matt Smith

Six months after the implementation of the OPEC production cut deal to reduce output by 1.2 million barrels per day, and we should be well on our way towards rebalancing - yet prices have just reached a new low for the year.

OPEC actually exported more crude in June than it did in October (the production cut deal reference level), while total global crude exports are over 10 percent higher...

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Tagged Saudi oil exports, OPEC oil exports, US oil imports Leave a comment
26 May

The Hangover



Matt Smith

No sooner had the dust settled after the conclusion of the latest OPEC meeting (with oil traders selling the market like hot cakes), we got Saudi oil minister Khalid Al-Falih saying that exports to the US were dropping measurably

While this has caused a good degree of excitement in the market, we here at the good ship ClipperData had already highlighted at the beginning of this month that...

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Tagged OPEC exports, Saudi oil exports Leave a comment
10 May

OPEC exports playing whack-a-mole



Matt Smith

After yesterday's monthly EIA report, and tomorrow's monthly OPEC report, the weekly EIA inventory report acts as the filling in this energy data sandwich. While have to wait until next Tuesday (16th) to get the IEA's monthly offering, hark, here are five things to consider in oil markets today:

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Tagged Saudi oil exports, India oil imports, oil demand growth, Forcados Leave a comment
21 March

Saudi flows swing west once more



Matt Smith

Crude prices are coming under selling pressure once again, as oversupply concerns dwarf OPEC production cut expectations. As equity markets join oil prices in charging lower, hark, here are six things to consider in oil markets today. 

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Tagged Saudi oil exports, Japan product exports, China vehicle sales Leave a comment
15 March

EIA oil draw due to lower imports



Matt Smith

Crude prices are rebounding today, bouncing off the trampoline of price support at $48 for WTI, $50 for Brent. A surprise draw to U.S. crude inventories (not to some) has been behind the rally (see more below), while the monthly IEA report followed in OPEC's footsteps by showing higher Saudi production, and higher OECD petroleum inventories. All that said, hark, here are five things to...

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Tagged Saudi oil exports, refinery runs, OECD oil inventories 2 Comments
20 February

Something's gotta give



Matt Smith

U.S. markets are closed today in observation of Presidents Day, but crude prices are still trucking on higher in thin electronic trading. Fun and games have been deferred until later in the week, with the EIA inventory report pushed back until Thursday. As for today, hark, here are five things to consider in oil and energy markets:

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Tagged LNG exports, Saudi oil exports, financial positioning, nuclear power 2 Comments
04 January

ClipperClip: Pedal to the metal



Matt Smith

My first outing on CNBC Squawk Box this year was fun as always; it was a quick tour of key issues in the crude complex, including some immediate OPEC trends we are seeing in our ClipperData at the turn of the year. Hark, click on the below mugshot to launch to the clip:

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Tagged China oil demand, OPEC, Saudi oil exports 1 Comment
19 December

Market share battles persist



Matt Smith

As we shuffle into two weeks of lower trading volume over the holiday period, and as we await next month's production cuts to start showing up in our export data (woot woot!), oil is looking decidedly undecided today. Hark, here are five things to consider in oil markets today.

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Tagged China oil imports, OPEC, Saudi oil exports Leave a comment
09 December

Saudi making tough choices



Matt Smith

Oil prices remain bid up into the weekend, as the market adopts the first part of the motto 'buy the rumor, sell the fact' ahead of tomorrow's OPEC / NOPEC meeting. Ahead of the weekend's fun and games, hark, here are five things to consider in oil markets today:

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Tagged Saudi oil exports, nopec, azeri light Leave a comment
06 December

OPEC OUTPUT UP! UP! UP!



Matt Smith

The crude complex is finally taking a breather after the recent OPEC-sponsored rally. We're now faced with the juxtapositioning of rising OPEC output versus promised cuts; something which could well become a recurring theme over the coming months. Weekly inventories beckon tomorrow, but hark, here are five things to consider in oil markets today:

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Tagged OPEC exports, Saudi oil exports, OPEC production 1 Comment
01 December

OPEC party continues on



Matt Smith

An OPEC-inspired rally continues for a second day, as the prospect of a production cut means a likely swifter market rebalancing...if it were implemented. (And that is a big IF). Nonetheless, the constructive development is spurring on positive sentiment and buying interest. A non-OPEC meeting in Doha now looms next week, but for now, hark, here are five things to consider in oil markets today.

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Tagged OPEC, Saudi oil exports, refinery runs, Permian Basin, US shale Leave a comment
05 October

Saudi still pushing for market share



Matt Smith

Oil prices are moving higher once again, boosted by a supportive weekly inventory report (and not OPEC rhetoric....refreshing!). As further distractions await in the coming days via data deluges, hark, here are five things to consider in oil markets today.

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Tagged Saudi oil exports, US oil imports, OSP, Alaska oil production Leave a comment
30 September

Ministers writing checks that OPEC can't cash



Matt Smith

Surely the latest actions by OPEC in Algiers threatens the very core of the cartel, given its members have agreed to something that is going to be extremely difficult to follow through on. To coin a phrase (well, kind of) from Top Gun, the cartel's oil ministers are writing checks that OPEC can't cash.

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Tagged Saudi oil exports, Saudi Arabia, Libya, Iraq, Iraq oil exports 2 Comments
28 September

Oil choppy due to OPEC, inventories



Matt Smith

Crude is sailing in rough seas today, as the combo of an informal OPEC meeting and a surprising weekly inventory report has pushed and prodded prices around thus far. Hark, here are five things to consider in oil markets today:  

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Tagged OPEC, Saudi oil exports, Saudi Arabia, EIA inventory report, Saudi oil production Leave a comment
27 September

Iran focusing on market share



Matt Smith

As the euro tumbles and optimism wanes from Algiers, oil prices are charging lower ahead of a likely build to crude inventories in tomorrow's weekly inventory report. Hark, here are five things to consider in energy markets today:

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Tagged Saudi oil exports, shale breakevens, Iran oil exports Leave a comment
23 September

Going through the motions



Matt Smith

Crude prices are selling off, aided by Saudi comments that a decision will not be forthcoming from next week's OPEC meeting in Algiers. Add to this news that the Federal Reserve is looking to restrict bank involvement in physical commodities...and dollar strength as the cherry on top...and oil is heading lower into the weekend. Hark, here are five things to consider in oil markets today:

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Tagged OPEC, Saudi oil exports, Iran oil exports, Iraq oil exports, Permian Basin Leave a comment
20 September

Crude's got the blues once more



Matt Smith

One hundred and thirty-one years after the birth of the mighty Jelly Roll Morton, the crude complex has got the blues once more. Prices are moving lower today, led by gasoline as the Colonial pipeline panic eases, and as the ebb and flow of OPEC expectations wane once more - after wax-on action yesterday. Hark, here are six things to consider in crude oil and natural gas markets today:

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Tagged Saudi oil exports, floating rigs, gasoline exports, natural gas, gasoline imports, gasoline, Colonial pipeline Leave a comment
08 September

Large oil draw surprises market



Matt Smith

 As a humongous draw to oil inventories has wrong-footed the market, crude prices have ripped higher in response. Hark, here are five things to consider in oil markets today:

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Tagged OPEC, Saudi oil exports, Iran oil exports, Iraq oil exports, inventory report Leave a comment
24 August

Battle for market share in China continues



Matt Smith

Oil prices are looking lower, facing headwinds of a stronger dollar and an impending bearish oil inventory report. Hark, here are six things to consider in oil markets today:

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Tagged Permian Basin crude oil production, Saudi oil exports, LNG imports, Chinese oil imports, Norway Leave a comment
09 August

ClipperClip: Dismissing OPEC freeze rumors



Matt Smith

I had a fun chat with Bernie Lo on CNBC Asia last night about a whole host of things. Part of the interview is featured below, where we discussed the likelihood - or the lack thereof - of an OPEC production freeze. Hark, click on the below mugshot to launch to the clip:

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Tagged ClipperBlog, OPEC, Saudi oil exports, refinery maintenance season, Iraq oil exports Leave a comment
05 August

Strong jobs, weak oil



Matt Smith

Welcome to another Nonfarm Friday! As job creation last month was mucho better than consensus (255,000 jobs created versus 180,000 expected, with an upward revision to prior data to boot), broader markets have a skip in their step, and are heading higher. Rising expectations of an interest rate hike return once more, hence a strengthening dollar is putting concrete boots on a third consecutive...

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Tagged ClipperBlog, Saudi oil exports, Iraq crude oil loadings, OPEC oil exports, Iran oil exports Leave a comment
06 June

Outages buoy oil to start the week



Matt Smith

One hundred and thirty-four years after H.W. Seely patented he first electric iron, and the crude complex is unable to get rid of the wrinkles from supply concerns. As broader markets try to recover from Friday's ugly jobs report, the oil market is introspective, focusing on its own fundamentals once more. Hark, here are five things to consider in oil markets today: 

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Tagged ClipperBlog, Saudi oil exports, crude-by-rail, Iran oil exports Leave a comment
18 May

Crude oil continues to find price support



Matt Smith

Thirty-eight years after 'The Buddy Holly Story' had its world premiere, and everyday, its a getting closer ($50 crude that is). After a deluge of economic data overnight, and ahead of the weekly EIA inventory report, crude is edging higher thus far. Hark, here are five things to consider in the oil market today.

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Tagged ClipperBlog, China crude oil imports, Saudi oil exports Leave a comment

About the Authors

MATT SMITH


Matt Smith deciphers and distills what is most relevant across the energy complex into cohesive and pithy knowledge you can use. The belly laugh is a bonus.

Matt Smith

DAN GRAEBER


Dan Graeber is Chief Editor at ClipperData. He specializes in exploring the intersection between geopolitical events and the price of oil.

Dan Graeber

AMIR RICHANI


Amir Richani is a geopolitical analyst at ClipperData, with a voracious appetite for studying political, economic and social developments in Latin America.

Amir Richani

NOAM RAYDAN


Noam Raydan is an analyst at ClipperData, focusing on political and security developments that could disrupt oil flows in the MENA region. She is also a tanker sleuth, scouring the high seas for unusual activities.

Noam Raydan

KEN SMITHMIER


Ken Smithmier is our Director of Research for Agricultural Markets. Follow along as Ken gets granular about grains.

Ken Smithmier


JOSH LOWELL


Josh Lowell is an energy analyst at ClipperData. He specializes in marine fuels, and is known for talking about IMO2020 in his sleep.

Josh Lowell


RON COIFMAN


Ron Coifman Ron is a petrochemicals markets editor at ClipperData. He has over four decades of experience in the petrochemical industry, with a particularly encyclopedic knowledge of Latin America markets.

Ron Coifman


KALEEM ASGHAR


Kaleem Asghar Kaleem is ClipperData's Director of LNG analytics, and our main man when it comes to all things natural gas related..

Kaleem Asghar

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