Saudi Arabia continues to keep the market informed about its stance on the OPEC production cut deal, with Khalid al-Falih's latest guidance that Saudi would prefer to overtighten the market than exit early from cuts (channeling Neil Young's 'it's better to burn out than fade away').Continue Reading
Back at the start of December, we discussed how Venezuelan crude deliveries to the U.S. were sliding, and particularly to Citgo refineries. December ended up being the lowest level of Venezuelan grades to the U.S. on our records, as total Venezuelan crude exports dropped under 1.1 million barrels per day.Continue Reading
Back in December we discussed how US oil inventories had been drawn down by a hundred million barrels from their peak last March, channeling Dr Evil from Austin Powers.
In recent weeks we have been on tour, presenting our six-month proprietary outlook, and have been highlighting the case of another 100 million barrels - this time via the cumulative drop in Saudi crude exports over the last...Continue Reading
After the dust has settled on last week's OPEC meeting, the cartel's impact on U.S. oil inventories is set to linger on. Stocks are at their lowest level since January 2016, and are down over 80 million barrels from their peak in March - in spite of a 30 million barrel injection from the SPR.
As we head into the holiday season, the U.S. should expect little in the way of holiday cheer from...Continue Reading
This morning's appearance on CNBC's Squawk Box addressed the impending OPEC meeting, and how Saudi continues to lead the charge in the production cut, and will dictate the shots going forward. Hark, click on the below mugshot to launch to part of the clip:Continue Reading
This morning's appearance on the set of CNBC Squawk Box started off discussing Saudi Aramco's IPO next year, and ended up covering global demand growth, and the unusual places it is coming through from. Hark, click on the below mugshot to launch to the clip:Continue Reading
After trying to grab ahold of the fifty dollar handle, WTI has lost its grip and is sliding lower in forty dollardom once more. Even though U.S. inventories look set to descend through August, global oversupply concerns are overshadowing this supportive influence. Hark, here are some things to consider in oil markets today.Continue Reading
We've had more energy-related newsflow than we can shake a stick at this week, with the triumvirate of monthly reports from the EIA, IEA and OPEC. The crude complex looks to finish the week with a solid gain, as positivity relating to demand distracts us from ongoing strong supply - at least for now. As we head into the weekend, hark, here is a cornucopia of crude and energy-related tidbits to...Continue Reading
We discussed back in early May how Saudi Arabian crude export loadings in April had dropped materially. Given the journey time to US shores (hark, seven-ish weeks), the expectation was that we would start to see lower volumes reflected in the June data. And sure enough, as we prepare to exit June stage right, arrivals are on the decline.Continue Reading
In today's game of rock-paper-scissors from the weekly EIA inventory report, crude inputs were propelled higher (like a rock), blunting the impact of super-strong imports (the scissors). On paper, the crude draw is bullish, but a modest rally is being kept in check somewhat by solid builds to the products. Hark, here are five things to consider in oil markets today:Continue Reading