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ClipperBlog

07 January

The GERM Report



Dan Graeber

Welcome to The GERM Report by Dan Graeber, a commentary on the intersection between geopolitical events and the price of oil. GERM stands for Geopolitical Energy and Risk Monitoring. Our indicator is based on the expected price volatility by the end of the current trading week.

Risk level: Orange

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Tagged geopolitical tension, geopolitics, OPEC compliance, OPEC crude exports, saudi arabia crude exports 1 Comment
15 November

Misdirection of Houdini-sized proportions



Matt Smith

Whether intentional or not, the US administration has played their hand masterfully. Since the early October highs, oil prices have dropped over 25 percent, paving the way for a 25 cent drop in retail gasoline prices (with a cascade to come). 

While a number of supply and demand-side considerations have caused such a stark reversal in both market sentiment and prices, the role of the U.S....

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Tagged Saudi oil production, Russia oil production, OPEC crude exports, Iran oil exports Leave a comment
14 November

ClipperClips: A Royal Rout



Matt Smith

In the aftermath of oil prices dropping for 12 consecutive days I appeared on CNBC Asia overnight and then CNBC Squawk Box this morning, addressing the various reasons why oil has fallen so far from its multi-year perch in the last six weeks. Hark, click on the below mugshots to launch to the clips.

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Tagged OPEC crude exports, OPEC oil demand growth, Saudi Arabia oil production Leave a comment
15 October

The GERM Report



Dan Graeber

Welcome to The GERM Report by Dan Graeber, a commentary on the intersection between geopolitical events and the price of oil. GERM stands for Geopolitical Energy and Risk Monitoring. Our indicator is based on the expected price volatility by the end of the current trading week.

Risk level: Orange - High

Continue Reading
Tagged Iran sanctions, geopolitical tension, saudi arabia crude exports, geopolitics, OPEC crude exports, US imports of Saudi crude, crude oil exports Leave a comment
01 October

The GERM Report



Dan Graeber

Welcome to The GERM Report by Dan Graeber, a commentary on the intersection between geopolitical events and the price of oil. GERM stands for Geopolitical Energy and Risk Monitoring. Our indicator is based on the expected price volatility by the end of the current trading week.

Risk level: Orange - High

Continue Reading
Tagged Iran sanctions, Iran crude exports, US Gulf Coast crude export capacity, geopolitical tension, steel tariffs, geopolitics, us crude exports, OPEC crude exports, us oil production, crude oil exports, OPEC oil production Leave a comment
24 September

The GERM Report



Dan Graeber

Welcome to The GERM Report by Dan Graeber, a commentary on the intersection between geopolitical events and the price of oil. GERM stands for Geopolitical Energy and Risk Monitoring. Our indicator is based on the expected price volatility by the end of the current trading week.

Risk level: Orange - High

Continue Reading
Tagged Strait of Hormuz, Iran crude exports, geopolitical tension, geopolitics, OPEC crude exports, OPEC oil production, oil inventories, Arab Gulf crude exports, oil, US shale, Iran oil production Leave a comment
17 September

The GERM Report



Dan Graeber

Welcome to The GERM Report by Dan Graeber, a commentary on the intersection between geopolitical events and the price of oil. GERM stands for Geopolitical Energy and Risk Monitoring. Our indicator is based on the expected price volatility by the end of the current trading week.

Risk level: Yellow - Elevated

Continue Reading
Tagged Iran sanctions, Iran crude exports, geopolitical tension, us natural gas exports, Russia crude exports, geopolitics, OPEC crude exports 1 Comment
10 September

The GERM Report



Dan Graeber

Welcome to the new home of The GERM Report by Dan Graeber, a commentary on the intersection between geopolitical events and the price of oil. GERM stands for Geopolitical Energy and Risk Monitoring. Dan has a long history in oil markets and an academic background in international relations theory. Apart from energy, he's contributed to the discussion on the foreign policy strategy of...

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Tagged us dollar, geopolitics, OPEC crude exports, oil prices, Libya crude exports, US imports of Saudi crude, crude oil exports Leave a comment
16 August

ClipperClips: Chi-Town & China



Matt Smith

I was in Chicago yesterday giving a keynote speech at a conference, so I grabbed the opportunity to swing by the TD Ameritrade Network and meet Ben Lichtenstein in person. 

We did a segment covering all manner of things (as per usual) - including China, the US dollar, inventories, OPEC and gasoline. 

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Tagged OPEC crude exports, China oil imports, Iran oil exports, US gasoline exports, US LNG exports 1 Comment
03 August

OPEC takes a new tack with higher exports



Matt Smith

After OPEC crude exports hit a record in June, ongoing strength in July seems to affirm a new trend, as opposed to a flash in the pan. 

June's pre-OPEC meeting export ramp-up was pretty spectacular, propelling June's exports over 1.5 million barrels per day higher than May.

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Tagged OPEC crude exports, Iran oil exports, Iraq oil exports 2 Comments

About the Authors

MATT SMITH


Matt Smith deciphers and distills what is most relevant across the energy complex into cohesive and pithy knowledge you can use. The belly laugh is a bonus.

Matt Smith

DAN GRAEBER


Dan Graeber is Chief Editor at ClipperData. He specializes in exploring the intersection between geopolitical events and the price of oil.

Dan Graeber

AMIR RICHANI


Amir Richani is a geopolitical analyst at ClipperData, with a voracious appetite for studying political, economic and social developments in Latin America.

Amir Richani

NOAM RAYDAN


Noam Raydan is an analyst at ClipperData, focusing on political and security developments that could disrupt oil flows in the MENA region. She is also a tanker sleuth, scouring the high seas for unusual activities.

Noam Raydan

KEN SMITHMIER


Ken Smithmier is our Director of Research for Agricultural Markets. Follow along as Ken gets granular about grains.

Ken Smithmier


JOSH LOWELL


Josh Lowell is an energy analyst at ClipperData. He specializes in marine fuels, and is known for talking about IMO2020 in his sleep.

Josh Lowell


RON COIFMAN


Ron Coifman Ron is a petrochemicals markets editor at ClipperData. He has over four decades of experience in the petrochemical industry, with a particularly encyclopedic knowledge of Latin America markets.

Ron Coifman


KALEEM ASGHAR


Kaleem Asghar Kaleem is ClipperData's Director of LNG analytics, and our main man when it comes to all things natural gas related..

Kaleem Asghar

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